Aaron Judge is a New York Yankees OF/DH projected for 196 fantasy points on 21 HR, .295 AVG, 49 R, 45 RBI, 5 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 75% and a bust at 23%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-25. Rebuilt daily.
Aaron Judge's 2026 projection is built on 299 plate appearances, down from 679 in 2025. Judge bats right-handed.
Across 11 seasons of regular playing time, Judge's most productive came in 2024 at age 32: 392 total bases, 144 RBI and 122 runs over 704 plate appearances, with 10 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 704, 679 and 285, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Judge's results lagged the quality of contact: a .372 wOBA against a .396 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Judge's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 94.0 mph average exit velocity, a 20.9% barrel rate and 57.5% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Judge struck out in 29.8% of plate appearances and walked in 15.1%, chasing 26.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 76.1 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Judge's strikeout rate rose from 23.6% to 29.8% and walk rate fell from 18.3% to 15.1%.
Judge's projected range runs from a 175-point floor to a 325-point upside, around a 197-point median: a spread of 150 points, or 76% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Judge on the board are Cal Raleigh, Ben Rice and Bryce Harper.
At 34, Judge is past the typical hitting peak, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-25 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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