Trevor Larnach is a Minnesota Twins OF projected for 253 fantasy points on 14 HR, .257 AVG, 60 R, 51 RBI, 2 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-25. Rebuilt daily.
Trevor Larnach's 2026 projection is built on 457 plate appearances in a regular role. Larnach bats left-handed.
Across 6 seasons of regular playing time, Larnach's most productive came in 2025 at age 28: 203 total bases, 60 RBI and 62 runs over 567 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 400, 567 and 433.
In 2026, Larnach's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .347 wOBA against a .327 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Larnach's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 87.7 mph average exit velocity, a 7.5% barrel rate and 36.7% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Larnach struck out in 18.2% of plate appearances and walked in 10.4%, chasing 29.7% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 72.2 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Larnach's average exit velocity fell from 90.9 mph to 87.7 mph and strikeout rate fell from 21.5% to 18.2%.
Larnach's projected range runs from a 240-point floor to a 341-point upside, around a 253-point median: a spread of 101 points, or 40% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Larnach on the board are Troy Johnston, Carson Kelly and Anthony Santander.
At 29, Larnach is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, though the multi-year valuation still discounts later seasons.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-25 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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